The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Recanatese 28%
Draw 29%
L Aquila 43%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.2%
25.6%
49.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.7%
25.1%
50.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Recanatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
L Aquila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and L Aquila might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that L Aquila could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Recanatese - L Aquila Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Sparacello C. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Sparacello C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
Recanatese is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
L Aquila has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
L Aquila could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Recanatese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Recanatese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Watch
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