The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Recanatese 19.5%
Draw 26%
L Aquila 54.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.2%
26.5%
52.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.5%
25.7%
54%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
L Aquila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Recanatese - L Aquila Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, ⚽,
20', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 🟥,
66', 2 - 2, ⚽,
88', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 16th and 1st in the Promotion).
Recanatese is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
L Aquila is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recanatese could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to L Aquila for this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Recanatese has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:9 (averaging 0.6:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Recanatese against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:5 goals (averaging 0.7:1.7 per game).
Watch
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