Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group F - Play Offs - Final

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday


	L Aquila		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.6
	1.81	3.23	3.96
	1.81	3.23	3.96
	1.85	3.3	3.75
	1.8	3.3	4.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.91)	3.26 ↑ (3.24)	3.9 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

L Aquila
49.3%

Draw
27.6%

Sambenedettese
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

28.2%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.5%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

L Aquila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

L Aquila - Sambenedettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Tomassini S. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In case of a draw home team advances.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

L Aquila will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches L Aquila won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- L Aquila Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.05.24	L Aquila - Roma City	2:2 ET ✺
28.04.24	Termoli - L Aquila	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - L Aquila	0:1 ✺
28.03.24	Avezzano - L Aquila	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	L Aquila - Fossombrone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWTW
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.05.24	Avezzano - Sambenedettese	1:2 ✺
28.04.24	Sambenedettese - Roma City	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Atletico Ascoli - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Sambenedettese - Campobasso	0:1 ✺
28.03.24	Sambenedettese - Chieti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
26.11.23	Sambenedettese - L Aquila	2:0

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