Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	L Aquila		Vigor Senigallia

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	4.95
	1.58	4.02	4.70	Watch
	1.57	3.62	5.33
	1.57	3.7	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.6)	3.71 ↓ (3.73)	5.05 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

L Aquila
57.5%

Draw
24.5%

Vigor Senigallia
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

24.4%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

25.2%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

L Aquila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

L Aquila - Vigor Senigallia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, L Aquila is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, L Aquila won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, L Aquila won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- L Aquila Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
26.10.25	Sora - L Aquila	4:1 ✺
19.10.25	L Aquila - Giulianova	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Maceratese - L Aquila	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Albalonga - L Aquila	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
05.10.25	L Aquila - UniPomezia	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLW
- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
26.10.25	Vigor Senigallia - Termoli	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Sammaurese - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Vigor Senigallia - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Fossombrone - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Vigor Senigallia - Teramo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
24.11.24	Vigor Senigallia - L Aquila	1:1
04.02.24	L Aquila - Vigor Senigallia	1:1
08.10.23	Vigor Senigallia - L Aquila	0:2

L Aquila - Vigor Senigallia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide