Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Vigor Senigallia		Termoli

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.2	3.15
	2.14	3.32	3.09	Watch
	2.14	3.18	3.16
	2.12	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.1)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	3.14 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vigor Senigallia
42.9%

Draw
28.1%

Termoli
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.7%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

26.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vigor Senigallia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Termoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termoli than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Vigor Senigallia - Termoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Romano G. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 1, Alonzi F. (Pen),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).

Vigor Senigallia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Termoli is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vigor Senigallia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vigor Senigallia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vigor Senigallia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Vigor Senigallia - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 42.83%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.10.25	Sammaurese - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Vigor Senigallia - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Fossombrone - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Vigor Senigallia - Teramo	1:3 ✺
24.09.25	Ostia Mare - Vigor Senigallia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWLL
- Termoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.10.25	Termoli - Chieti	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Giulianova - Termoli	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Notaresco - Termoli	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
05.10.25	Termoli - Castelfidardo	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	UniPomezia - Termoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
09.03.25	Vigor Senigallia - Termoli	1:1
07.01.24	Termoli - Vigor Senigallia	1:2
10.09.23	Vigor Senigallia - Termoli	3:1
19.03.23	Vigor Senigallia - Termoli	1:0

Vigor Senigallia - Termoli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide