Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 7

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Vigor Senigallia		Notaresco

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3
	2.16	3.26	3.04
	2.18	3.3	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.05)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vigor Senigallia
42.2%

Draw
27.7%

Notaresco
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

26.8%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.5%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Vigor Senigallia - Notaresco Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Notaresco (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).

Vigor Senigallia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Notaresco is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vigor Senigallia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Notaresco has had a series of home games.

Vigor Senigallia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vigor Senigallia won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Vigor Senigallia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
05.10.25	Fossombrone - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Vigor Senigallia - Teramo	1:3 ✺
24.09.25	Ostia Mare - Vigor Senigallia	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Vigor Senigallia - Sora	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Vigor Senigallia - Giulianova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLLT
- Notaresco Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Notaresco - Termoli	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
05.10.25	Notaresco - Chieti	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Giulianova - Notaresco	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Notaresco - Castelfidardo	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Notaresco - Atletico Ascoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
17.04.25	Notaresco - Vigor Senigallia	2:2
08.12.24	Vigor Senigallia - Notaresco	2:1
14.01.24	Vigor Senigallia - Notaresco	0:0
17.09.23	Notaresco - Vigor Senigallia	4:4
22.01.23	Vigor Senigallia - Notaresco	1:1

Vigor Senigallia - Notaresco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide