Match Info

AUSTRIA: Regionalliga Central - Round 9

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday


	LASK II		SPG Wels

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.9	1.65
	4	3.95	1.67
	3.8	4.18	1.71
	3.82	4.26	1.69	Watch
	4	4	1.67
	4.06	3.94	1.67
	4	3.95	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (2.95)	4.03 ↓ (4.5)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LASK II
23.2%

Draw
22.6%

SPG Wels
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

20.2%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

19.6%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LASK II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that LASK II's form might have worsened.

SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPG Wels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LASK II than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for LASK II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

LASK II - SPG Wels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Schwaighofer J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 🟥,
85', 🟥,
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2).

LASK II is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SPG Wels is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

LASK II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match SPG Wels is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches LASK II won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams LASK II won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LASK II
Austrian Regionalliga Central
24.09.24	LASK II - Ried II	2:3 ✺
20.09.24	Union Vöcklamarkt - LASK II	2:1 ✺
06.09.24	Vorwärts Steyr - LASK II	2:2 ✺
30.08.24	LASK II - Gleisdorf	2:1 ✺
23.08.24	Wallern-Marienkirchen - LASK II	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTWL
- SPG Wels
Austrian Regionalliga Central
21.09.24	SPG Wels - Union Gurten	1:0 ✺
17.09.24	SV Wildon - SPG Wels	1:3 ✺
06.09.24	SPG Wels - Leoben	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Weindorf St. Anna am Aigen - SPG Wels	1:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
28.08.24	SPG Wels - Blau-Weiss Linz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
29.09.23	LASK II - SPG Wels	2:2
02.06.23	LASK II - SPG Wels	3:3
22.10.22	SPG Wels - LASK II	1:1

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