Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	La Calzada		Calahorra

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.6	1.68
	1.58	3.68	5.66	Watch
	4.2	3.68	1.79
	4.2	3.65	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (4.2)	3.65 (3.65)	2.71 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

La Calzada
30.6%

Draw
29.6%

Calahorra
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

24.9%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

24.7%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in La Calzada's performance.

Calahorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calahorra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Calzada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calahorra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

La Calzada - Calahorra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Manzanos M. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Taha M. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Navarro L. ⚽,
25', 2 - 2, Muro M. ⚽,
36', 3 - 2, Manzanos M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Calahorra is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDFC La Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
16.11.25	Comillas - La Calzada	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	La Calzada - Vianés	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Arnedo - La Calzada	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	La Calzada - San Marcial	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Yagüe - La Calzada	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLL
- CD Calahorra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
16.11.25	Calahorra - Varea	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Calahorra	0:7 ✺
02.11.25	Calahorra - Autol	4:0 ✺
26.10.25	Berceo - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Oyonesa - Calahorra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWWLL

La Calzada - Calahorra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide