Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 8

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday


	La Calzada		Náxara

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.1
	2.95	3.05	2.16
	3.02	3.1	2.22
	3.42	3.32	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.46)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)	2.12 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Calzada
29%

Draw
28.6%

Náxara
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27.5%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Calzada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Calzada's form might have worsened.

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Náxara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Calzada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náxara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

La Calzada - Náxara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Náxara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDFC La Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
23.10.22	Calahorra B - La Calzada	0:2 ✺
16.10.22	La Calzada - Comillas	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Oyonesa - La Calzada	2:1 ✺
02.10.22	La Calzada - Vianés	1:0 ✺
24.09.22	Yagüe - La Calzada	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW
- Náxara CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
23.10.22	Náxara - Berceo	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	River Ebro - Náxara	2:2 ✺
09.10.22	Náxara - Racing Rioja B	2:0 ✺
02.10.22	Anguiano - Náxara	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
28.09.22	Real Unión de Irun - Náxara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWWL

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