Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 30

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Unión de Irun		Náxara

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.35	7.3
	1.34	4.76	8.31
	1.32	4.8	8.3	Watch
	1.36	4	8
	1.33	4.33	8.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.38)	4.45 ↑ (4.35)	8.09 ↑ (7.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
68.2%

Draw
20.5%

Náxara
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

21.2%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

20.2%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Náxara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Real Unión de Irun - Náxara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Soroeta J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Miguelez S. ⚽,
74', 3 - 0, Mecerreyes J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 12).

Real Unión is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Náxara's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Real Unión is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Real Unión will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Unión won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Real Unión won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Naxara	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.03.26	Utebo - Real Unión de Irun	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Real Unión de Irun - Ebro	4:0 ✺
15.03.26	UD Logroñés - Real Unión de Irun	4:0 ✺
08.03.26	Real Unión de Irun - Beasain	4:0 ✺
28.02.26	Mutilvera - Real Unión de Irun	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW
- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.03.26	Náxara - Sestao	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gernika - Náxara	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Náxara - Alavés B	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Ejea - Náxara	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Náxara - Basconia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.12.25	Náxara - Real Unión de Irun	1:3
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Náxara - Real Unión de Irun	0:1
Spanish Copa Federacion
28.09.22	Real Unión de Irun - Náxara	1:0

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