The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
La Fiorita 68.6%
Draw 19.7%
San Giovanni 11.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.1%
19.9%
11%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.3%
18.2%
12%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Fiorita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
San Giovanni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Fiorita than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Fiorita that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
La Fiorita - San Giovanni Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Mazzotti M. ⚽, Cicarelli D. (A),
14', 2 - 0, Semprini J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 3 - 0, Guidi T. ⚽, Felipe J. (A),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Fiorita won 5.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Recently, San Giovanni has had a series of home games.
In this match, La Fiorita is the clear favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, La Fiorita won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:7. (average 2.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, La Fiorita won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
La Fiorita
4
1
3
0
4:3
1
6
13
San Giovanni
4
1
0
3
4:10
-6
3
Last Results with these Odds
La Fiorita - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 69.09%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
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