The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Folgore 28.7%
Draw 30.9%
La Fiorita 40.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.6%
26%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
24.4%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Folgore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Folgore's form might have worsened.
La Fiorita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Fiorita's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Folgore, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Fiorita than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Fiorita, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Folgore - La Fiorita Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Garcia Rufer A. ⚽,
85', 1 - 1, Zaccaria G. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 0.
Folgore is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
La Fiorita's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Folgore may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, La Fiorita has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Folgore won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).
Watch
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