Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 25

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


San-marino	San Marino RTV


	Folgore		San Giovanni

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.85	6.1
	1.43	4.1	6.11
	1.49	4.05	5.89	Watch
	1.44	3.75	6
	1.44	4.05	6.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)	3.96 ↓ (4.21)	6.07 ↓ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore
62.3%

Draw
22.8%

San Giovanni
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21.9%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

21.1%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

San Giovanni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Folgore - San Giovanni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Garcia Rufer A. ⚽, Sartori F. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Zanni M. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Garcia Rufer A. ⚽,
45+1', Garcia Rufer A. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 2 - 2, Zanni M. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

San Giovanni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, San Giovanni has had a series of home games.

In this match, Folgore is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Folgore will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Folgore won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Folgore	4	4	0	0	10:1	9	12
13	San Giovanni	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folgore Falciano Calcio
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
08.03.26	Folgore - La Fiorita	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	AC Libertas - Folgore	2:4 ✺
21.02.26	Pennarossa - Folgore	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Folgore - Tre Fiori	2:2 ✺
11.02.26	Folgore - Domagnano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWTW
- SS San Giovanni
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
07.03.26	San Giovanni - Murata	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	San Giovanni - Virtus	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	San Giovanni - Cailungo	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	San Giovanni - Pennarossa	3:0 ✺
10.02.26	San Giovanni - Tre Penne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
23.11.25	San Giovanni - Folgore	1:1
06.05.25	San Giovanni - Folgore	1:1
03.05.25	Folgore - San Giovanni	0:1
17.02.24	San Giovanni - Folgore	2:1
20.10.23	Folgore - San Giovanni	2:1
18.02.23	San Giovanni - Folgore	2:3
San Marino Coppa Titano
18.10.22	Folgore - San Giovanni	3:2 ET

Folgore - San Giovanni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide