The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
La Granja 42.6%
Draw 30.8%
Santa Marta Tormes 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
30.6%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
20.7%
39.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Granja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Santa Marta Tormes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Granja than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Granja that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Marta Tormes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Both teams are in bad shape now.
La Granja will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches La Granja won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
Including matches at home between the teams La Granja won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.