Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 20

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Almazán		Santa Marta Tormes

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.14)	3 (3)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 12.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almazán
44.3%

Draw
29.6%

Santa Marta Tormes
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28.2%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almazán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Santa Marta Tormes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almazán than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Santa Marta Tormes aligns with the current prediction.

Almazán - Santa Marta Tormes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 1 - 1, Astudillo S. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almazán won 2.

Almazán is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santa Marta Tormes is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Almazán will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Almazán won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:7 (average 1.5:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Almazán won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Almazán
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
12.01.25	Almazán - Villaralbo	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Briviesca - Almazán	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Almazán - Mojados	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Burgos Promesas - Almazán	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Almazán - La Virgen del Camino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWTTW
- UD Santa Marta Tormes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
12.01.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Bembibre	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Arandina - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Astorga	2:1 ✺
06.12.24	Atlético Palencia - Santa Marta Tormes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
07.09.24	Santa Marta Tormes - Almazán	0:0
28.01.24	Almazán - Santa Marta Tormes	1:0
09.09.23	Santa Marta Tormes - Almazán	2:0
18.03.23	Santa Marta Tormes - Almazán	1:1
20.11.22	Almazán - Santa Marta Tormes	2:0
15.04.22	Santa Marta Tormes - Almazán	1:2
04.12.21	Almazán - Santa Marta Tormes	2:0

Almazán - Santa Marta Tormes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide