Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: MOTSEPE FOUNDATION CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 17

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	La Masia		Venda

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	2.95
	2.29	2.93	3.25
	2.15	2.88	3
	2.2	2.99	3.2
	2.28	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.99)	2.93 ↓ (3.13)	3.1 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Masia
40.3%

Draw
30.7%

Venda
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.6%

28.9%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

27.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Masia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Masia's form might have worsened.

Venda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Masia than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Masia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venda than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

La Masia - Venda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 14).

Recent matches La Masia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Venda is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

La Masia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches La Masia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams La Masia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NB La Masia
South African First Division
16.12.23	Magesi - La Masia	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	La Masia - Milford	3:0 ✺
01.12.23	La Masia - Black Leopards	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Baroka - La Masia	4:1 ✺
10.11.23	La Masia - Durban City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWLT
- Venda FA
South African First Division
16.12.23	Venda - Upington City	0:2 ✺
10.12.23	Casric Stars - Venda	3:1 ✺
02.12.23	Venda - Marumo Gallants	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	University of Pretoria - Venda	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Black Leopards - Venda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
29.09.23	Venda - La Masia	0:1
22.02.23	Venda - La Masia	3:0
07.10.22	La Masia - Venda	1:0

La Masia - Venda

Match Info

Current Win Probability

La Masia - Venda Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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