Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	La Nucía		Buñol

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.25	5.15
	1.65	3.35	5.53	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	1.83	3.34	4.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.85)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	4.8 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Nucía
52.7%

Draw
28.3%

Buñol
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

28.3%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

30%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Buñol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buñol than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

La Nucía - Buñol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Jorda ⚽,
72', 2 - 0, Martinez C. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: ))

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

La Nucía may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, La Nucía is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, La Nucía won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, La Nucía won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	CD Bunol	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF La Nucía
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
15.02.26	Utiel - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	La Nucía - Vall de Uxó	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Alzira - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	La Nucía - Español de San Vicente	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	La Nucía - Atzeneta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWTWT
- CD Buñol
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
07.02.26	Soneja - Buñol	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Buñol - Atlético Saguntino	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Buñol - Utiel	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Vall de Uxó - Buñol	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Alzira - Buñol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
12.10.25	Buñol - La Nucía	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
11.03.18	La Nucía - Buñol	3:1
22.10.17	Buñol - La Nucía	1:2

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