Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 6Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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 Spain | 18:00 | Footballclub |
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La Nucía |
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Lorca Deportiva |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.88 |
3.00 |
3.80 |
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 |
1.9 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
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 |
1.96 |
3.07 |
4.13 |
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 |
1.91 |
3.18 |
4.03 |
 Watch |
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1.94 |
3 |
4.05 |
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 |
1.92 |
3.43 |
3.89 |
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 |
1.88 |
3.15 |
3.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.21) |
3.13 ↑
(3.01) |
3.94 ↑
(3.04) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
La Nucía
47.7% | Draw
29.1% | Lorca Deportiva
23.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in La Nucía's performance.Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorca Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+4.8%)La Nucía - Lorca Deportiva Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Carlos J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 55', 1 - 1, Naranjo J. ⚽,
- 67', 1 - 2, Acevedo J. ⚽, Talaveron D. (A),
- 80', 1 - 3, Talaveron D. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 12th).La Nucía has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).Lorca Deportiva has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).La Nucía may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days. Bookmakers give the edge to La Nucía for this game. These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | La Nucia | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
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| 12 | Lorca Deportiva | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
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Last Results with these Odds
La Nucía - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 40.63%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
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