Match Info
Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday
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La Nucía |
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Lorca Deportiva |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.85 |
3.1 |
3.8 |
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1.85 |
3.2 |
3.94 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.21) |
3.15 ↑
(3.01) |
3.87 ↑
(3.04) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
La Nucía
48.4% | Draw
28.4% | Lorca Deportiva
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in La Nucía's performance.Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorca Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Nucía that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+4.9%)La Nucía - Lorca Deportiva Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 11th).La Nucía has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).Performances by Lorca Deportiva have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).La Nucía may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days. La Nucía is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match. No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | La Nucia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
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| 11 | Lorca Deportiva | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
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Last Results with these Odds
La Nucía - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 40.63%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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