Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 26

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	La Unión		Ciudad de Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.4	5
	1.55	3.4	4.96
	1.63	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.55)	3.43 ↑ (3.38)	5.05 ↑ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Unión
56.3%

Draw
26%

Ciudad de Murcia
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

25.9%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

18.9%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ciudad de Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Unión that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Murcia than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ciudad de Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches La Unión won 2.

Recent matches La Unión is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ciudad de Murcia is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match La Unión is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches La Unión won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams La Unión won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Unión CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
12.03.23	Muleño - La Unión	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	La Unión - Cieza	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Águilas - La Unión	3:0 ✺
19.02.23	Lorca Deportiva - La Unión	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	La Unión - Unión Molinense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLLL
- CAP Ciudad de Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
12.03.23	Ciudad de Murcia - Águilas	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Lorca Deportiva - Ciudad de Murcia	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Ciudad de Murcia - Unión Molinense	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Pulpileño - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Ciudad de Murcia - El Palmar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
20.11.22	Ciudad de Murcia - La Unión	2:1
13.02.22	La Unión - Ciudad de Murcia	4:0
09.10.21	Ciudad de Murcia - La Unión	3:0
14.02.21	Ciudad de Murcia - La Unión	2:0
15.11.20	La Unión - Ciudad de Murcia	2:1
03.03.19	Ciudad de Murcia - La Unión	1:0

La Unión - Ciudad de Murcia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide