Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 32Date: 19 April 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Spain | WebDirecto |
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 |
|
 |
|
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La Unión |
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UCAM Murcia |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.88 |
3.05 |
2.3 |
|
 |
3.2 |
3.05 |
2.3 |
|
 |
3.08 |
3.12 |
2.26 |
 Watch |
 |
3.13 |
2.96 |
2.26 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.87) |
3.05 ↑
(2.99) |
2.28 ↓
(2.48) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
La Unión
29.8% | Draw
30.1% | UCAM Murcia
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-2.9%)La Unión - UCAM Murcia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, El Kounni K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 79', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 86', 2 - 1, Alvarito ⚽,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+6', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Unión won 4.La Unión is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).UCAM Murcia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).UCAM Murcia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. UCAM Murcia could have a small edge in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, La Unión won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, La Unión won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
Last Results with these Odds
La Unión - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.08%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
UCAM Murcia - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.13%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
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