The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Minera 42.4%
Draw 30.9%
UCAM Murcia 26.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
29.9%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
30.6%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minera than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Minera - UCAM Murcia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Perdomo O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Mesa R. ⚽,
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).
Minera has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
UCAM Murcia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
UCAM Murcia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Minera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
Including home match between the teams, Minera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Minera - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.87%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.