Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Chapín (Jerez)


	Xerez CD		La Unión

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.9	3.8
	1.92	2.98	3.9
	1.93	2.99	4.58
	1.92	2.94	4.41	Watch
	1.99	3.13	4.06
	1.95	2.95	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.99)	2.98 ↓ (3.01)	4.11 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Xerez CD
47.1%

Draw
30.6%

La Unión
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

30.4%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

29.4%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

La Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Xerez CD - La Unión Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Ortiz A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+9', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 9).

Xerez is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, La Unión has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

La Unión may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Xerez is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Xerez won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Xerez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Xerez CD	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.03.26	Malaga B - Xerez CD	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Xerez CD - Recreativo Huelva	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Xerez CD - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Minera - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Xerez CD - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLT
- La Unión CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.03.26	La Unión - Minera	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Linares Deportivo - La Unión	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Estepona - La Unión	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	La Unión - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Yeclano Deportivo - La Unión	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.11.25	La Unión - Xerez CD	0:1
02.02.25	Xerez CD - La Unión	0:1
22.09.24	La Unión - Xerez CD	0:1

Upcoming Matches