Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	La Virgen del Camino		Arandina

	1	X	2
	2.18	3	3.1
	2.2	2.85	3.42
	15.28	4.51	1.26	Watch
	2.21	2.97	3.2
	2.16	2.83	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (2.14)	3.23 ↑ (3.05)	2.9 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Virgen del Camino
24.1%

Draw
35.9%

Arandina
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Virgen del Camino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Virgen del Camino's form might have worsened.

Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arandina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Virgen del Camino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arandina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

La Virgen del Camino - Arandina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, ⚽,
82', 🟥,
90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Virgen won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

La Virgen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, La Virgen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, La Virgen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.8:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD La Virgen del Camino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
23.11.25	Bembibre - La Virgen del Camino	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	La Virgen del Camino - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	La Virgen del Camino - Mirandés B	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Atlético Mansillés - La Virgen del Camino	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTLL
- Arandina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
22.11.25	Arandina - Atlético Mansillés	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Arandina	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Palencia CA - Arandina	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Arandina - Villaralbo	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Colegios Diocesanos - Arandina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
05.04.25	Arandina - La Virgen del Camino	1:1
16.11.24	La Virgen del Camino - Arandina	1:0
26.02.23	Arandina - La Virgen del Camino	1:0
22.10.22	La Virgen del Camino - Arandina	1:2
02.04.22	La Virgen del Camino - Arandina	1:0
21.11.21	Arandina - La Virgen del Camino	2:1
17.04.21	La Virgen del Camino - Arandina	0:5

La Virgen del Camino - Arandina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide