Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 7

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	La Virgen del Camino		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.7	2.35
	3.38	2.38	2.56
	3.38	2.39	2.56
	3.08	2.88	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.4)	2.59 ↓ (3)	2.45 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

La Virgen del Camino
28%

Draw
35%

Atlético Astorga
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

31.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Virgen del Camino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Virgen del Camino's form might have worsened.

Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Virgen del Camino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Astorga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches La Virgen won 1.

La Virgen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Atlético Astorga is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches La Virgen won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams La Virgen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD La Virgen del Camino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
15.10.23	Atlético Tordesillas - La Virgen del Camino	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Palencia	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Burgos Promesas - La Virgen del Camino	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	La Virgen del Camino - Leonesa B	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Almazán - La Virgen del Camino	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLTLW
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.10.23	Atlético Astorga - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Ponferradina B - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Atlético Astorga - Colegios Diocesanos	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Palencia CA - Atlético Astorga	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Astorga	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
18.02.23	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Astorga	1:1
15.10.22	Atlético Astorga - La Virgen del Camino	3:2
20.02.22	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Astorga	0:0
12.10.21	Atlético Astorga - La Virgen del Camino	2:1
17.02.21	Atlético Astorga - La Virgen del Camino	0:1
25.10.20	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Astorga	1:0
29.09.18	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Astorga	1:4

Upcoming Matches