Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 15Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday
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La Virgen del Camino |
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Atlético Palencia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.1 |
2.62 |
2.42 |
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 |
3.26 |
2.77 |
2.31 |
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 |
3.25 |
2.63 |
2.4 |
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 |
3.18 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
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3.25 |
2.75 |
2.33 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.21 ↑ (3.03) |
2.69 ↓ (2.71) |
2.37 ↓ (2.48) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
La Virgen del Camino 28.2% | Draw 33.6% | Atlético Palencia 38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Virgen del Camino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Atlético Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Palencia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+14', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Virgen won 1.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, La Virgen won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, La Virgen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 | | | 23.03.25 | Atlético Palencia - La Virgen del Camino | 2:3 | | 03.11.24 | La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Palencia | 0:1 | | 25.02.24 | Atlético Palencia - La Virgen del Camino | 0:0 | | 07.10.23 | La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Palencia | 1:2 | | 26.03.23 | Atlético Palencia - La Virgen del Camino | 6:0 | | 26.11.22 | La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Palencia | 2:0 | | 14.04.22 | La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Palencia | 0:0 |
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