Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 22

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	La Virgen del Camino		Villaralbo

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.82	3.4
	2.19	2.8	3.67
	2.22	2.81	3.57
	2.2	2.63	3.5
	2.16	2.77	3.61
	2.12	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.99)	2.79 ↓ (3.05)	3.54 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Virgen del Camino
41.8%

Draw
32.6%

Villaralbo
25.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.8%

29.9%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.8%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Virgen del Camino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Villaralbo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Virgen del Camino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villaralbo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

La Virgen del Camino - Villaralbo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
89', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 11).

La Virgen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Villaralbo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

La Virgen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

La Virgen might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	La Virgen	8	4	1	3	9:10	-1	13
12	Villaralbo	8	2	3	3	13:11	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD La Virgen del Camino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
28.03.26	Santa Marta Tormes - La Virgen del Camino	4:0 ✺
21.03.26	Mirandés B - La Virgen del Camino	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	La Virgen del Camino - Unionistas B	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Mansillés	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Atlético Tordesillas - La Virgen del Camino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTTL
- GCE Villaralbo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
28.03.26	Almazán - Villaralbo	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Villaralbo - Atlético Palencia	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Becerril - Villaralbo	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Villaralbo - Arandina	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Bembibre - Villaralbo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWTWL

La Virgen del Camino - Villaralbo