Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 28Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday
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Santa Marta Tormes |
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La Virgen del Camino |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.75 |
3.05 |
4.65 |
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1.69 |
3.31 |
5.27 |
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1.69 |
3.28 |
5.22 |
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1.73 |
3 |
5 |
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1.65 |
3.18 |
5.52 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.76) |
3.16 ↑
(3.07) |
5.13 ↑
(4.76) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Santa Marta Tormes
53.5% | Draw
28.8% | La Virgen del Camino
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Marta Tormes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)La Virgen del Camino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Marta Tormes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (+3%)Santa Marta Tormes - La Virgen del Camino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 45', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 2.Santa Marta Tormes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).La Virgen's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Santa Marta Tormes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Santa Marta Tormes is considered a favorite.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.3:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Santa Marta Tormes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Santa Marta Tormes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
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| 7 | La Virgen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 | | | 15.11.25 | La Virgen del Camino - Santa Marta Tormes | 0:1 | | 09.03.25 | Santa Marta Tormes - La Virgen del Camino | 1:3 | | 23.10.24 | La Virgen del Camino - Santa Marta Tormes | 0:1 | | 28.03.24 | La Virgen del Camino - Santa Marta Tormes | 1:0 | | 11.11.23 | Santa Marta Tormes - La Virgen del Camino | 4:4 | | 07.04.23 | Santa Marta Tormes - La Virgen del Camino | 0:2 | | 10.12.22 | La Virgen del Camino - Santa Marta Tormes | 3:0 |
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