Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Bembibre		Villaralbo

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.72	2.52
	2.98	2.76	2.59
	2.81	2.71	2.76
	2.88	2.72	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (2.89)	2.73 ↓ (2.79)	2.6 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bembibre
31.5%

Draw
33.4%

Villaralbo
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

32.6%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

31.7%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Bembibre have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Villaralbo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bembibre than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villaralbo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Bembibre - Villaralbo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 12)

Bembibre has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Villaralbo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Villaralbo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bembibre won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bembibre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bembibre	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10
12	Villaralbo	5	1	2	2	9:7	2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bembibre
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
22.02.26	Colegios Diocesanos - Bembibre	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Bembibre - Unionistas B	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Guijuelo - Bembibre	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Bembibre - Leonesa B	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Bembibre - Almazán	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTTLT
- GCE Villaralbo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
22.02.26	Villaralbo - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Villaralbo - Atlético Mansillés	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Villaralbo	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Villaralbo - Numancia B	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Palencia CA - Villaralbo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
18.10.25	Villaralbo - Bembibre	0:1
01.05.25	Villaralbo - Bembibre	4:0
21.12.24	Bembibre - Villaralbo	1:1
18.02.24	Bembibre - Villaralbo	0:3
30.09.23	Villaralbo - Bembibre	0:1

Bembibre - Villaralbo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide