Match Info
Serie D - Round 9Date: 16 June 2025, Monday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Lagarto |
|
Jequié |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
|
 |
2.13 |
3.31 |
3.1 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
2.14 |
3.32 |
3.32 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(2.02) |
3.24 ↑
(2.98) |
3.21 ↓
(3.47) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lagarto
43.4% | Draw
28.2% | Jequié
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Jequié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jequié than the current prediction. (-3.6%)Lagarto - Jequié Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Ueslei ⚽,
- 29', 2 - 0, Zanatelli L. H. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 70', 2 - 1, Rian Santana ⚽,
- 90+7', 🟥,
- 90+14', 🟥,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Lagarto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Lagarto could have a small edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lagarto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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