Match Info

Serie D - Round 7

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday


	Lagarto		Juazeirense

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.13	3.1	3.25
	2.13	2.97	3.19
	2.15	3.11	3.31	Watch
	2.15	3.02	3.31
	2.13	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.02)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagarto
41.8%

Draw
29.7%

Juazeirense
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.1%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

29.2%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Juazeirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juazeirense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Lagarto - Juazeirense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lagarto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, Vicente ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Lagarto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Juazeirense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lagarto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Lagarto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Serie D
25.05.25	Jequié - Lagarto	3:1 ✺
17.05.25	Lagarto - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Penedense - Lagarto	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Lagarto - Sergipe	0:3 ✺
19.04.25	Lagarto - União Carmolandense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWLW
- SD Juazeirense
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.25	Juazeirense - Penedense	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Juazeirense - União Carmolandense	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Jequié - Juazeirense	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Juazeirense - Barcelona de Ilhéus	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Sergipe - Juazeirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
11.06.22	Juazeirense - Lagarto	1:0
21.05.22	Lagarto - Juazeirense	2:0

Lagarto - Juazeirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide