Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 18Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday
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Lagun Onak |
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Aurrerá de Vitoria |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.7 |
3.35 |
4.35 |
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1.71 |
3.53 |
4.54 |
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1.7 |
3.4 |
4.4 |
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1.66 |
3.44 |
4.79 |
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1.75 |
3.4 |
4.25 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↑ (1.53) |
3.42 ↓ (3.55) |
4.47 ↓ (5.72) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lagun Onak 53.2% | Draw 26.5% | Aurrerá de Vitoria 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lagun Onak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lagun Onak's form might have worsened.Aurrerá de Vitoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lagun Onak, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurrerá de Vitoria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Lagun Onak - Aurrerá de Vitoria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 9).Lagun Onak is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Aurrerá de Vitoria has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Lagun Onak is a strong favorite.We predict that Lagun Onak will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lagun Onak won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).Including home match between the teams, Lagun Onak won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
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| 9 | Lagun Onak | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;