Match Info

Kakkonen Group A

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Lahden kisapuisto (Lahti)


	Lahden Reipas		Grankulla IFK

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.45
	2.45	3.8	2.4
	2.49	3.8	2.46
	2.43	3.91	2.38	Watch
	2.41	3.74	2.45
	2.45	3.8	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.57)	3.78 ↓ (3.91)	2.42 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lahden Reipas
37.9%

Draw
24.3%

Grankulla IFK
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

23.8%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lahden Reipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Grankulla IFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Lahden Reipas - Grankulla IFK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ratto V. (G) 9. Belabid A. 15. Klinga M. (C) 14. Kose B. 10. Kostian J. 18. Kurki V. 12. Ndabawedje J. 21. Niskanen R. 8. Paalanen A. 19. Riihela E. 25. Vaisanen K.	1. Rintamaki O. (G) 18. Arima S. 16. Beijar A. 7. Deen T. 28. Gela X. 23. Kallio A. 4. Kouyate B. (C) 27. Norhomaa N. 14. Rekola B. 8. Rubensson V. 6. Tahiri K.
Substitutes
5. Friberg J. 27. Helttunen O. 17. Kettunen T. 6. Kuparinen E. 31. Laine L. (G) 22. Nieminen E. 3. Nieminen J. 23. Oksanen N.	26. Bergman J. 13. Hellsten H. 9. Leivo J. 12. Pyhala J. (G) 20. Riihilahti K. 24. Rosenstrom T. 5. Sormunen L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Klinga M. ⚽,
9', Klinga M. 🟨,
10', 2 - 0, Belabid A. ⚽,
20', 2 - 1, (Own goal),
22', 2 - 2, Gela X. ⚽,
38', Rekola B. ↓, Sormunen L. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Belabid A. ↓, Nieminen E. ↑,
57', Norhomaa N. ↓, Bergman J. ↑,
57', Kallio A. ↓, Riihilahti K. ↑,
60', 2 - 3, (Own goal),
60', Deen T. 🟨,
62', Paalanen A. ↓, Oksanen N. ↑,
75', Ndabawedje J. ↓, Kuparinen E. ↑,
77', 3 - 3, Kose B. ⚽,
85', Sormunen L. 🟨,
86', 🟨,
88', 4 - 3, Nieminen E. ⚽,
90+3', Kose B. ↓, Friberg J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: )).

Recent form of Reipas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

GrIFK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Reipas has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Reipas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Reipas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lahden Reipas
Finnish Cup
06.05.25	Lahden Reipas - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:1 penalties ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
02.05.25	Lahden Reipas - Haminan Pallo-Kissat	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	VJS Vantaa - Lahden Reipas	5:1 ✺
19.04.25	Lahden Reipas - Honka	1:3 ✺
Finnish Cup
12.04.25	Lahden Reipas - Lahti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 LLLLW
- Grankulla IFK
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
03.05.25	Grankulla IFK - JPS	3:0 ✺
25.04.25	MYPA - Grankulla IFK	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Grankulla IFK - PEPO Lappeenranta	4:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
15.04.25	Grankulla IFK - IFK Mariehamn	1:2 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
22.09.24	Grankulla IFK - NJS	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
14.09.24	Lahden Reipas - Grankulla IFK	1:2
21.07.24	Grankulla IFK - Lahden Reipas	0:0
18.05.24	Lahden Reipas - Grankulla IFK	1:1

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