Match Info

Kakkonen Group A - Losers stage

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Lahden kisapuisto (Lahti)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lahden Reipas		Puistolan Urheilijat

	1	X	2
	1.63	4.10	3.80
	2.46	3.52	2.28
	1.95	4.06	2.99	Watch
	2.3	3.45	2.25
	2.29	4.05	2.6
	1.68	4.1	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.68)	3.88 ↓ (4.1)	2.93 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lahden Reipas
44.9%

Draw
23.7%

Puistolan Urheilijat
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

21.9%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

21.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lahden Reipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lahden Reipas's form might have worsened.

Puistolan Urheilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Puistolan Urheilijat's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahden Reipas than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lahden Reipas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puistolan Urheilijat than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Puistolan Urheilijat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lahden Reipas - Puistolan Urheilijat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Harkonen O. (G) 28. Babiker A. 23. Flood P. 24. Helttunen O. 17. Jarvinen L. 5. Kautonen T. (C) 21. Kuparinen E. 8. Paalanen A. 20. Salmensuu E. 18. Saltykov T. 19. Verkko M.	1. Makkonen T. (G) 2. Abdirashid I. (C) 77. Assehnoun H. 19. Desalegen M. 18. Honkaniemi T. 5. Mohamed H. 9. Nuorala S. 14. Oris A. 16. Rearte M. 10. Ruumensaari J. 6. Sapienza J.
Substitutes
15. Ayri H. 11. Belhout Y. 30. Haapsaari P. (G) 3. Kuusimaki L. 12. Ndabawedje E. 14. Toukonen M. 7. Viitanen V.	17. Cikala-Cimanga W. 99. Gronroos T. (G) 26. Kahisalo L. 20. Nguyen C. 8. Rinta-Kahila S. 4. Tiainen I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Ruumensaari J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Salmensuu E. 🟨,
58', 🟨,
61', Ruumensaari J. ↓, Cikala-Cimanga W. ↑,
74', Saltykov T. ↓, Viitanen V. ↑,
90+1', Oris A. ↓, Rinta-Kahila S. ↑,
90+2', Helttunen O. ↓, Ayri H. ↑,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

PuiU may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Reipas is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Reipas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Reipas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lahden Reipas
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
04.09.26	MYPA - Lahden Reipas	5:1 ✺
22.08.26	Union Plaani - Lahden Reipas	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Lahden Reipas - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Atlantis Helsinki - Lahden Reipas	4:2 ✺
02.08.26	Lahden Reipas - PPJ Ruoholahti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW
- Puistolan Urheilijat
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
06.09.26	Union Plaani - Puistolan Urheilijat	4:2 ✺
22.08.26	MYPA - Puistolan Urheilijat	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Puistolan Urheilijat - Kiffen 08	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	HIFK - Puistolan Urheilijat	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Puistolan Urheilijat - Atlantis Helsinki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
18.07.26	Puistolan Urheilijat - Lahden Reipas	4:1
08.05.26	Lahden Reipas - Puistolan Urheilijat	3:1
03.08.25	Lahden Reipas - Puistolan Urheilijat	0:1
01.06.25	Puistolan Urheilijat - Lahden Reipas	1:1

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