Match Info

Kakkonen Group A

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Toolon Pallokentta (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atlantis Helsinki		Lahden Reipas

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.60	3.90
	1.77	4.20	3.10
	1.59	4.82	4.33
	1.63	4.81	3.66	Watch
	1.50	4.80	4.25
	1.54	5.45	4.25
	1.55	4.75	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.89)	4.78 ↑ (4.1)	3.91 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlantis Helsinki
57.5%

Draw
19.1%

Lahden Reipas
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

21.7%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

20.7%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlantis Helsinki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlantis Helsinki's performance.

Lahden Reipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lahden Reipas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlantis Helsinki than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlantis Helsinki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahden Reipas than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lahden Reipas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlantis Helsinki - Lahden Reipas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Abdulai A. (G) 94. Ajunwoko C. 10. Bekhedda M. 4. Dolhov P. 11. Haruna B. 9. Ibekwe C. 7. Kouakou K. 16. Luht C. 27. Nyemb F. 20. Salau S. 15. Sydorenko D.	31. Harkonen O. (G) 24. Helttunen O. 5. Kautonen T. 10. Kose B. (C) 6. Kuparinen E. 21. Kuparinen E. 14. Ozel M. 8. Paalanen A. 20. Salmensuu E. 25. Vaisanen K. 16. Vatanen M.
Substitutes
26. Boulakhras A. 21. Eshroukh-Maharzah S. 33. Hirvonen S. 2. Karttunen O. 29. Matsiev I. 23. Prylopa V. 3. Riikonen P. 35. Tabetando G. 69. Tammi L. (G)	15. Ayri H. 11. Belhout Y. 30. Haapsaari P. (G) 17. Jarvinen L. 23. Mynttinen J. 22. Nykanen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Ozel M. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Bekhedda M. ⚽,
17', Haruna B. 🟨,
35', 2 - 1, (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Luht C. ↓, Prylopa V. ↑,
46', Haruna B. ↓, Riikonen P. ↑,
46', Salmensuu E. ↓, Nykanen H. ↑,
46', Vatanen M. ↓, Jarvinen L. ↑,
52', 2 - 2, Kose B. ⚽,
53', Riikonen P. 🟨,
67', 3 - 2, Nyemb F. ⚽,
77', Helttunen O. ↓, Belhout Y. ↑,
79', Nyemb F. ↓, Tabetando G. ↑,
82', Belhout Y. 🟨,
83', 🟨,
84', 4 - 2, Salau S. ⚽,
85', Ibekwe C. ↓, Hirvonen S. ↑,
87', Salau S. ↓, Boulakhras A. ↑,
90+2', Ozel M. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlantis won 0.

Atlantis is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Reipas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlantis might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlantis won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlantis won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlantis Helsinki
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
01.08.26	Puistolan Urheilijat - Atlantis Helsinki	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Atlantis Helsinki - HPS	5:3 ✺
18.07.26	Union Plaani - Atlantis Helsinki	3:6 ✺
10.07.26	Atlantis Helsinki - Kiffen 08	3:5 ✺
04.07.26	Atlantis Helsinki - PEPO Lappeenranta	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWLW
- Lahden Reipas
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
02.08.26	Lahden Reipas - PPJ Ruoholahti	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Lahden Reipas - MYPA	4:2 ✺
18.07.26	Puistolan Urheilijat - Lahden Reipas	4:1 ✺
12.07.26	Lahden Reipas - HIFK	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	HPS - Lahden Reipas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
31.05.26	Lahden Reipas - Atlantis Helsinki	1:0
06.09.22	Atlantis Helsinki - Lahden Reipas	0:4
18.06.22	Lahden Reipas - Atlantis Helsinki	4:1
Club Friendly
17.03.22	Lahden Reipas - Atlantis Helsinki	2:1
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
24.08.21	Atlantis Helsinki - Lahden Reipas	2:2
31.07.21	Lahden Reipas - Atlantis Helsinki	1:1

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