Match Info

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Lahden Stadion (Lahti)


	Lahti		TPS

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.75	1.93
	3	3.74	1.9
	3.02	3.94	1.94	Watch
	2.9	3.65	1.86
	3.06	3.82	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.17)	3.78 ↑ (3.7)	1.92 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lahti
29.9%

Draw
23.6%

TPS
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

24.5%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

23.7%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lahti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lahti's form might have worsened.

TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting TPS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lahti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TPS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lahti - TPS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Pesonen E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 1 - 1, Jamsen E. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group: )).

Lahti is Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group )

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lahti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lahti has had a series of away games.

TPS is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lahti Women
Finnish Ykkonen Women
07.07.26	HJS - Lahti	2:2 ✺
25.06.26	KTP - Lahti	2:6 ✺
14.06.26	Lahti - Honka	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	ONS Oulu - Lahti	0:1 ✺
22.05.26	HJK Akatemia - Lahti	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.5 TWLWL
- TPS Women
Finnish Ykkonen Women
02.07.26	TPS - Jyväskylän PK	1:5 ✺
28.06.26	HJS - TPS	2:3 ✺
24.06.26	HJK Akatemia - TPS	4:1 ✺
05.06.26	TPS - Esbo Bollklubb	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	TPS - Honka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 67.8 LWLWT

Lahti - TPS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide