Match Info

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday


	TPS		Jyväskylän PK

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.75	2.15
	2.61	3.65	2.2
	12.82	6.73	1.15	Watch
	2.55	3.6	2.17
	2.83	4.12	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (2.68)	4.37 ↑ (4.1)	1.95 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TPS
22.4%

Draw
23.9%

Jyväskylän PK
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

22.4%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

22.8%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TPS's form might have worsened.

Jyväskylän PK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jyväskylän PK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TPS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jyväskylän PK than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jyväskylän PK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

TPS - Jyväskylän PK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
31', 0 - 1, Sarlin M. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Sarlin M. ⚽,
38', 1 - 2, Rantanen R. ⚽,
41', 1 - 3, Sarlin M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 4, Auvinen I. ⚽,
90', 1 - 5, Tenno N. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.

In recent matches, TPS has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

JYPK is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

JYPK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, TPS won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TPS Women
Finnish Ykkonen Women
28.06.26	HJS - TPS	2:3 ✺
24.06.26	HJK Akatemia - TPS	4:1 ✺
05.06.26	TPS - Esbo Bollklubb	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	TPS - Honka	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	ONS Oulu - TPS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 74.6 WLWTT
- Jyväskylän PK
Finnish Ykkonen Women
27.06.26	Esbo Bollklubb - Jyväskylän PK	3:0 ✺
13.06.26	Jyväskylän PK - KTP	1:3 ✺
06.06.26	HJS - Jyväskylän PK	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Jyväskylän PK - ONS Oulu	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	PKKU - Jyväskylän PK	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
05.09.20	Jyväskylän PK - TPS	2:1
04.07.20	TPS - Jyväskylän PK	0:1
30.06.19	TPS - Jyväskylän PK	1:0
30.05.19	Jyväskylän PK - TPS	1:1
20.10.18	Jyväskylän PK - TPS	5:1
07.07.18	TPS - Jyväskylän PK	3:2
14.04.18	Jyväskylän PK - TPS	0:1

TPS - Jyväskylän PK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide