Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 10

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday


	Lajeadense		Frederiquense

	1	X	2
	3.30	2.85	2.10
	2.95	2.75	2.20
	3.40	3.06	2.04
	3.35	3.12	2.11	Watch
	3.35	3.00	2.01
	3.50	3.00	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.8)	2.96 ↑ (2.75)	2.09 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lajeadense
27%

Draw
30.2%

Frederiquense
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

31.7%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

30%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lajeadense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Frederiquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Frederiquense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lajeadense than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lajeadense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frederiquense than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frederiquense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lajeadense - Frederiquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Gaucho 3 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Lajeadense is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Frederiquense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Lajeadense has had a series of away games.

Recently, Frederiquense has had a series of home games.

Frederiquense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lajeadense won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Lajeadense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Lajeadense
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
06.09.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Lajeadense	1:0 ✺
01.09.26	EC Guarani - Lajeadense	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Gramadense - Lajeadense	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Lajeadense - Passo Fundo	0:3 ✺
12.08.26	Brasil de Farroupilha - Lajeadense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLL
- União Frederiquense de Futebol
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
06.09.26	Frederiquense - Santa Cruz-RS	0:0 ✺
01.09.26	Frederiquense - Veranopolis	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Brasil de Farroupilha - Frederiquense	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Frederiquense - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Frederiquense - Passo Fundo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
08.06.25	Frederiquense - Lajeadense	0:0
14.11.21	Frederiquense - Lajeadense	3:1
07.11.21	Lajeadense - Frederiquense	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
18.02.15	Frederiquense - Lajeadense	1:1

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