Match Info

ARGENTINA: Liga Profesional - Round 5

Date: 13 June 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
Brazil	ESPN 4
Usa	Fanatiz


	Lanús		Racing

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	2.2	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.45
	3.3	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.54	3.2	2.25
	3.54	3.18	2.26
	3.2	3.25	2.2
	3.38	3.32	2.2	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.86)	3.22 ↑ (3.14)	2.24 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
28.3%

Draw
29.4%

Racing
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.8%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

29.8%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Lanús - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Racing will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aguerre A. (G) 3. Morgantini N. 23. Dominguez N. 6. Luciatti A. 22. Soler J. C. 25. Aquino D. 15. Loaiza R. (C) 4. Perez G. 32. Carrera R. 10. Marcelino Moreno 9. Bou W.	25. Cambeses F. (G) 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 6. Colombo N. 13. Sosa S. 2. Garcia A. 27. Rojas G. 32. Almendra A. E. 36. Zuculini B. (C) 22. Rodriguez B. 7. Salas M. 9. Adrian Martinez
Substitutes
7. Acosta L. 35. Aguirre B. 11. Alvarez F. 24. Caceres J. 13. Canale Dominguez J. 12. Claa N. (G) 19. Gonzalez M. 21. Lotti A. 28. Ontivero O. 17. Rodriguez A. 27. Torres J. 16. Watson F. N.	17. Carbonero J. 3. Di Cesare M. 47. Galvan I. 1. Leon R. (G) 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 34. Mura F. 14. Paredes P. M. 4. Pillud I. . 38. Rubio T. 30. Sigali L. 28. Solari S. 18. Urzi A.
Coaches
Zielinski R.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Luciatti A. 🟨,
31', Rojas G. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Carrera R. ⚽, Marcelino Moreno (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez B. ↓, Carbonero J. ↑,
46', Rojas G. ↓, Mura F. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Bou W. ⚽,
67', Adrian Martinez ↓, Martinez Tobinson R. B. ↑,
67', Martirena Torres G. N. ↓, Solari S. ↑,
72', Aquino D. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
74', Solari S. 🟨,
76', Dominguez N. 🟨,
80', Solari S. 🟨,
82', Bou W. ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
84', Martinez Tobinson R. B. 🟨,
89', Carrera R. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
89', Perez G. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lanús won 0.

Recent matches Lanús is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Racing is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Racing have a series of home games.

Racing will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Lanús: Diaz L. (Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Lanús won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 15-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Lanús won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.06.24	Rosario Central - Lanús	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.05.24	Lanús - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.05.24	Lanús - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1 ✺
20.05.24	San Lorenzo - Lanús	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.05.24	Lanús - Metropolitanos	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWTW
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.06.24	Racing - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.05.24	Racing - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.05.24	Tigre - Racing	0:4 ✺
20.05.24	Racing - Argentinos Juniors	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.05.24	Racing - Coquimbo Unido	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
07.04.24	Racing - Lanús	2:0
11.11.23	Lanús - Racing	0:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.02.23	Racing - Lanús	2:1
18.10.22	Lanús - Racing	0:1
29.11.21	Racing - Lanús	3:1
07.12.19	Lanús - Racing	1:0
16.09.18	Lanús - Racing	0:1

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