Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús)

Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, ESPN, ESPN Premium
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Chile	ESPN 5
Colombia	ESPN 5
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	ESPN 5
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Lanús		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	2.20	2.85	3.70
	2.20	2.90	3.60
	2.10	3.00	3.90	Watch
	2.36	3.01	3.82
	2.34	2.99	3.44	Watch
	2.30	2.85	3.75
	2.25	2.96	3.88	Watch
	2.23	2.90	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.14)	2.93 ↓ (3.02)	3.72 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
42.2%

Draw
32.3%

Estudiantes La Plata
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

31%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

33.4%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	63.6%	0%

Lanús - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Losada N. (G) 33. Guidara T. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 35. De Jesus R. 6. Marcich S. 5. Pena Biafore F. 30. Cardozo A. 77. Besozzi L. 11. Salvio E. 42. Lobos G. 20. Wlk A.	16. Muslera F. (G) 20. Meza E. 4. Nunez S. (C) 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 13. Benedetti G. 8. Gabriel Neves 21. Piovi L. 29. Perez Fabricio 22. Castro A. 17. Burgos J. 19. Gaich A.
Substitutes
38. Acosta B. 39. Laplace T. 40. Lopez T. 10. Marcelino Moreno 17. Medina A. 3. Morgantini N. 4. Perez G. 1. Petroli F. (G) 43. Ramirez M. 27. Sanchez F. 19. Valois Y. 8. Watson F. N.	28. Aguirre B. 9. Carrillo G. 18. Cetre E. 39. Elias J. 26. Funes Mori R. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 52. Kociubinski B. 40. Mancuso E. 24. Palacios T. 31. Rodriguez B. 41. Sagues B. 7. Sosa J.
Coaches
Pellegrino M.	Medina A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Lobos G. ⚽, Salvio E. (A),
25', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
31', Pena Biafore F. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 2 - 0, Salvio E. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Burgos J. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
60', Castro A. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
64', Besozzi L. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
64', Wlk A. ↓, Valois Y. ↑,
73', Perez Fabricio ↓, Carrillo G. ↑,
73', Piovi L. ↓, Elias J. ↑,
80', Lobos G. ↓, Marcelino Moreno ↑,
80', Salvio E. ↓, Laplace T. ↑,
83', Marcich S. 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Gonzalez Pirez L. ⚽,
86', Benedetti G. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
90+4', Meza E. 🟨,
90+5', Valois Y. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 3.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Estudiantes may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Lanús is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Lanús: Carrera R. (Inactive) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Marcelino Moreno (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Estudiantes: Alario L. (Inactive) Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Palacios T. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Estudiantes: Correa J. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lanús has recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:19 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lanús against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:7 goals (averaging 0.9:0.7 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Lanús - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.64%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.09.26	Deportivo Riestra - Lanús	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Lanús - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Boca Juniors - Lanús	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Lanús - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
17.08.26	Lanús - Independiente	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLTL
- Estudiantes La Plata
Copa Libertadores
16.09.26	Corinthians - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.09.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.09.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.09.26	Vélez Sársfield - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús	0:1
24.05.24	Lanús - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.04.24	Lanús - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2
27.11.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.02.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús	0:2
10.10.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús	3:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.02.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús	2:1

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