Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Lanús 2		Atlético Tucumán 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.15	2.58
	2.25	3.27	2.91	Watch
	2.55	3.14	2.51
	2.12	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.23)	3.19 ↑ (3.17)	2.81 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús 2
39%

Draw
28.6%

Atlético Tucumán 2
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.6%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

27.6%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Atlético Tucumán 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús 2 than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán 2 than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Lanús 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Atlético Tucumán 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lanús 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lanús 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).

Including home match between the teams, Lanús 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lanús 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.10.25	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Lanús 2	0:1 ✺
15.10.25	Ferro 2 - Lanús 2	3:2 ✺
09.10.25	Lanús 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Independiente 2 - Lanús 2	3:1 ✺
25.09.25	Lanús 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL
- Atlético Tucumán 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.10.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	1:1 ✺
15.10.25	Independiente 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	5:1 ✺
09.10.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:1 ✺
02.10.25	Instituto 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	2:1 ✺
25.09.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Platense 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
28.05.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Lanús 2	2:3
01.06.23	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Lanús 2	3:0
14.06.22	Lanús 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	2:4

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