Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Langreo		Pontevedra

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.75	3.3	1.95
	3.58	3.35	2.06
	3.47	3.32	2.01	Watch
	3.49	3.22	2.06
	3.75	3.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.6)	3.27 ↑ (3.1)	2.01 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Langreo
26%

Draw
28.2%

Pontevedra
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

29.1%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

29.7%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Langreo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Langreo's form might have worsened.

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pontevedra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Langreo than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Langreo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pontevedra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Langreo - Pontevedra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, de Almeida D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Alain (Own goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Langreo won 0.

Recent matches Langreo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pontevedra is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pontevedra will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Langreo won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Langreo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UP Langreo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.09.24	Compostela - Langreo	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Langreo - Valladolid B	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Real Ávila - Langreo	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Langreo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.24	Leonesa - Langreo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTTWL
- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.09.24	Pontevedra - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Numancia - Pontevedra	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Compostela - Pontevedra	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Pontevedra - Valladolid B	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.24	Pontevedra - Lugo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.01.24	Langreo - Pontevedra	0:0
17.09.23	Pontevedra - Langreo	6:0
24.04.22	Pontevedra - Langreo	3:2
04.12.21	Langreo - Pontevedra	1:2
01.12.19	Pontevedra - Langreo	0:0
Spanish Copa Federacion
05.12.18	Langreo - Pontevedra	1:2
21.11.18	Pontevedra - Langreo	1:1

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