Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Langreo		Sarriana

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.15	4.25
	1.7	3.53	5.29
	1.76	3.4	4.43	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.5
	1.76	3.72	4.34
	1.64	3.4	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.93)	3.38 ↑ (3.25)	4.69 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Langreo
53.2%

Draw
27.2%

Sarriana
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

28%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

28.5%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Langreo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Langreo's performance.

Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarriana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Langreo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Langreo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Langreo - Sarriana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Levrand M. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, Millan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Langreo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Sarriana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sarriana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Langreo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UP Langreo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.11.25	Numancia - Langreo	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Langreo - Lealtad	4:0 ✺
16.11.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Langreo	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Langreo - Real Oviedo B	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Bergantiños - Langreo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLT
- SD Sarriana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.25	Sarriana - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Rayo Cantabria - Sarriana	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Sarriana - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Marino de Luanco - Sarriana	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sarriana - Real Ávila	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLTTW

Langreo - Sarriana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide