Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Sarriana		Real Ávila

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.88	2.3
	3.35	2.89	2.23	Watch
	3.15	2.88	2.3
	3.1	2.85	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.82)	2.88 ↓ (3.35)	2.26 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarriana
28.6%

Draw
31.4%

Real Ávila
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

27.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

27.9%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Real Ávila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (-1%)

Sarriana - Real Ávila Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Berardozzi T. ⚽,
85', 2 - 0, Millan A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Real Ávila may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Real Ávila will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Real Ávila - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.25%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Sarriana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.25	Valladolid B - Sarriana	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Sarriana - Coruxo	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Salamanca - Sarriana	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Sarriana - Numancia	4:2 ✺
27.09.25	Sámano - Sarriana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWW
- Real Ávila
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Real Ávila - Real Avilés	1:0 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Real Ávila - Sámano	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Ávila	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Real Ávila - Real Oviedo B	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	UD Ourense - Real Ávila	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLTT

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