Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 13

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Numancia		Langreo

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.3	5.5
	1.59	3.45	6.48
	1.65	3.45	5.25	Watch
	1.6	3.28	5.9
	1.58	3.33	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.59)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	5.89 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
57.2%

Draw
27.2%

Langreo
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

25.8%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Langreo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Langreo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Numancia - Langreo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Orviz S. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Garcia D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 1, Juancho ⚽,
61', 3 - 1, Garcia D. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Numancia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Langreo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Numancia is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Numancia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.11.25	Burgos Promesas - Numancia	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Numancia - Coruxo	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Real Ávila - Numancia	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Numancia - Valladolid B	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Numancia - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTWW
- UP Langreo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.11.25	Langreo - Lealtad	4:0 ✺
16.11.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Langreo	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Langreo - Real Oviedo B	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Bergantiños - Langreo	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Langreo - Ferrol	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.02.25	Langreo - Numancia	0:0
13.10.24	Numancia - Langreo	1:1
13.03.21	Langreo - Numancia	1:1
12.12.20	Numancia - Langreo	1:0

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