Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 21

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday


	Langwarrin		Moreland City

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.1	3.3
	1.75	4.35	3.2
	1.77	4.15	3.2
				Watch
	1.75	4	3.4
	1.75	4.45	3.32	Watch
	1.73	4.45	3.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 (1.75)	4.25 ↓ (5)	3.3 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Langwarrin
51.5%

Draw
21.2%

Moreland City
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

18.2%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

17.2%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Langwarrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Moreland City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Langwarrin than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreland City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Langwarrin - Moreland City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Langwarrin has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Moreland City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Moreland City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Langwarrin has had a series of home games.

Langwarrin could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Langwarrin will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Langwarrin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Langwarrin SC
Australian Victoria Premier League
27.06.25	Langwarrin - Northcote City	5:2 ✺
21.06.25	Langwarrin - Bentleigh Greens	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Langwarrin - Manningham United	2:1 ✺
06.06.25	Brunswick City - Langwarrin	1:2 ✺
31.05.25	Langwarrin - Kingston City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.3 WTWWW
- Moreland City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
29.06.25	Western United U21 - Moreland City	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Moreland City - Melbourne Srbija	0:3 ✺
14.06.25	Eastern Lions - Moreland City	6:2 ✺
07.06.25	Moreland City - Melbourne City Youth	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Moreland City - North Sunshine Eagles	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
28.03.25	Moreland City - Langwarrin	0:1

Langwarrin - Moreland City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide