Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 19

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday


	Moreland City		Melbourne Srbija

	1	X	2
	3	4	1.83
	2.91	4.9	1.91
				Watch
	3.2	4	1.85
	2.85	5	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.5)	4.48 ↑ (4.4)	1.88 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreland City
30.7%

Draw
20.5%

Melbourne Srbija
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

20.7%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

20.1%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreland City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moreland City's form might have worsened.

Melbourne Srbija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Srbija's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreland City than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Srbija than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Moreland City - Melbourne Srbija Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Moreland City (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moreland City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 🟥,
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent form of Moreland City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Melbourne Srbija is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Melbourne Srbija may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Melbourne Srbija has had a series of home games.

Melbourne Srbija might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moreland City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreland City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
14.06.25	Eastern Lions - Moreland City	6:2 ✺
07.06.25	Moreland City - Melbourne City Youth	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Moreland City - North Sunshine Eagles	2:3 ✺
24.05.25	Northcote City - Moreland City	3:1 ✺
16.05.25	Moreland City - Bentleigh Greens	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWLLL
- FC Melbourne Srbija
Australian Victoria Premier League
13.06.25	Northcote City - Melbourne Srbija	0:1 ✺
07.06.25	Melbourne Srbija - Bentleigh Greens	1:2 ✺
31.05.25	Melbourne Srbija - Manningham United	5:0 ✺
24.05.25	Melbourne Srbija - Brunswick City	3:0 ✺
17.05.25	Melbourne Srbija - Kingston City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
15.03.25	Melbourne Srbija - Moreland City	4:4

Moreland City - Melbourne Srbija: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide