Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 16

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday


	Langwarrin		Kingston City

	1	X	2
	1.9	4.1	2.8
	1.9	4.3	2.9
	1.99	4.27	2.98
	1.96	4.38	2.86	Watch
	1.95	3.9	3
	1.96	4.05	2.92
	1.9	4.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.54)	4.19 ↓ (4.5)	2.91 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Langwarrin
47%

Draw
21.7%

Kingston City
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

20.2%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

19.7%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Langwarrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Langwarrin's performance.

Kingston City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kingston City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Langwarrin than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Langwarrin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kingston City than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kingston City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Langwarrin - Kingston City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 2 - 1, ⚽,
73', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Langwarrin has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kingston City has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Langwarrin has had a series of away games.

Langwarrin might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Langwarrin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Langwarrin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Langwarrin SC
Australian Victoria Premier League
26.05.25	Bulleen Lions - Langwarrin	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Caroline Springs George Cross - Langwarrin	5:1 ✺
10.05.25	North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Langwarrin - Western United U21	3:2 ✺
26.04.25	Melbourne Srbija - Langwarrin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWL
- Kingston City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
26.05.25	Kingston City - Western United U21	3:3 ✺
17.05.25	Melbourne Srbija - Kingston City	3:2 ✺
09.05.25	Eastern Lions - Kingston City	3:2 ✺
05.05.25	Kingston City - Melbourne City Youth	2:4 ✺
25.04.25	Moreland City - Kingston City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
24.02.25	Kingston City - Langwarrin	3:3
05.07.24	Langwarrin - Kingston City	1:2

Langwarrin - Kingston City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide