Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Domenico Francioni (Latina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Latina		Monopoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.15	2.98	2.28
	3.51	2.9	2.29
	2.36	2.09	5.78	Watch
	3.17	2.9	2.28	Watch
	3.55	3.26	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.45)	2.83 ↓ (3.21)	2.92 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Latina
31.3%

Draw
34.9%

Monopoli
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

28.4%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

28%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Latina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monopoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latina than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Latina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monopoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Latina - Monopoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 13. Marenco F. 32. Parodi G. 6. Calabrese B. 2. Ercolano E. 8. Ciko S. 21. Hergheligiu D. 5. Pellitteri A. 11. Pace F. 20. Fasan N. 97. Parigi G.	22. Piana E. (G) 31. Oyewale S. 6. Miceli M. 35. Piccinini S. 77. Viteritti O. 21. Scipioni E. 8. Battocchio C. 23. Falzerano M. 99. Imputato A. 11. Fall M. 9. Longo S.
Substitutes
1. Basti M. (G) 30. De Ciancio R. 19. Di Giovannantonio G. 18. Dutu E. 7. Ekuban J. 23. Farneti G. 22. Iosa A. (G) 77. Pannitteri O. 3. Porro M. 80. Quieto D. 28. Regonesi I. 10. Riccardi A. 4. Scravaglieri M. 27. Vona A.	1. Albertazzi M. (G) 5. Angileri A. 4. Bizzotto N. 37. Bordo L. 19. Calcagni R. 20. Cascella R. 15. Greco J. 72. Lattanzi L. 34. Ronco D. 33. Rossi D. 17. Tirelli M. 16. Valenti B. 10. Volpe G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Longo S. 🟥,
41', Pace F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Falzerano M. ↓, Greco J. ↑,
46', Ercolano E. ↓, Pannitteri O. ↑,
53', Calabrese B. 🟨,
59', Viteritti O. 🟨,
62', Parodi G. 🟨,
64', Pace F. ↓, Quieto D. ↑,
65', Fasan N. ↓, Regonesi I. ↑,
66', Fall M. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
66', Imputato A. ↓, Rossi D. ↑,
76', Pellitteri A. ↓, Farneti G. ↑,
79', Scipioni E. ↓, Bordo L. ↑,
83', 🟨,
85', 0 - 1, Tirelli M. ⚽,
87', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
87', Oyewale S. ↓, Valenti B. ↑,
87', Parodi G. ↓, Ekuban J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Latina won 2.

Latina is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Monopoli is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Latina won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Latina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
12.09.25	Foggia - Latina	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Latina - Picerno	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Trapani - Latina	6:0 ✺
24.08.25	Latina - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Latina - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLLWW
- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
12.09.25	Monopoli - Audace Cerignola	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Catania - Monopoli	4:0 ✺
31.08.25	Siracusa - Monopoli	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Monopoli - Nuova Cosenza	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Monopoli - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
12.03.25	Monopoli - Latina	2:0
31.10.24	Latina - Monopoli	0:1
18.02.24	Monopoli - Latina	0:1
15.10.23	Latina - Monopoli	3:2
Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.23	Monopoli - Latina	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
02.04.23	Monopoli - Latina	3:1
30.11.22	Latina - Monopoli	0:0

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