Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani (Monopoli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Monopoli		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3	2.5
	2.25	3.15	3
	2.31	3.14	3.11
	1.01	1.00	1.00	Watch
	2.23	3.13	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 (2.07)	2.68 ↓ (3.3)	2.53 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monopoli
38.6%

Draw
29.8%

Audace Cerignola
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.3%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

27.9%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monopoli's form might have worsened.

Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monopoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Audace Cerignola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Monopoli - Audace Cerignola Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Audace Cerignola will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Audace Cerignola (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Audace Cerignola (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Piana E. (G) 31. Oyewale S. 6. Miceli M. 35. Piccinini S. 77. Viteritti O. 21. Scipioni E. 8. Battocchio C. 23. Falzerano M. 99. Imputato A. 9. Longo S. 17. Tirelli M.	1. Greco S. (G) 45. Cocorocchio M. 5. Martinelli L. 6. Visentin S. 3. Russo L. 4. Vitale G. 11. Bianchini G. 58. Cretella C. 2. Todisco G. 29. Cuppone L. 90. Emmausso M.
Substitutes
1. Albertazzi M. (G) 5. Angileri A. 4. Bizzotto N. 37. Bordo L. 20. Cascella R. 11. Fall M. 15. Greco J. 72. Lattanzi L. 33. Rossi D. 16. Valenti B. 10. Volpe G.	17. Ballabile E. 98. Dabizas A. 33. D'Orazio L. 22. Fares G. (G) 97. Gambale D. 95. Ianzano D. 31. Iliev V. (G) 20. Miguel Angel 24. Moreso O. 16. Paolucci L. 99. Parlato C. 83. Ruggiero Z. 25. Spaltro R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Visentin S. (Own goal),
19', Cocorocchio M. 🟨,
24', Vitale G. 🟨,
31', Cretella C. 🟥,
38', Cocorocchio M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Emmausso M. ↓, Miguel Angel ↑,
54', Longo S. 🟨,
58', Tirelli M. ↓, Volpe G. ↑,
58', Longo S. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Fall M. ⚽,
71', Bianchini G. ↓, Paolucci L. ↑,
71', Vitale G. ↓, Moreso O. ↑,
76', Falzerano M. ↓, Greco J. ↑,
81', Cuppone L. ↓, Gambale D. ↑,
86', Oyewale S. ↓, Bordo L. ↑,
86', Battocchio C. ↓, Rossi D. ↑,
88', Russo L. ↓, D'Orazio L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monopoli won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Monopoli won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Monopoli won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
06.09.25	Catania - Monopoli	4:0 ✺
31.08.25	Siracusa - Monopoli	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Monopoli - Nuova Cosenza	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Monopoli - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Monopoli - Lecce	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWTWT
- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
07.09.25	Audace Cerignola - Siracusa	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Potenza - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
25.08.25	Audace Cerignola - Picerno	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
18.08.25	Audace Cerignola - Verona	1:2 penalties ✺
10.08.25	Avellino - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
30.03.25	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	1:0
18.11.24	Monopoli - Audace Cerignola	1:1
10.03.24	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	1:3
06.11.23	Monopoli - Audace Cerignola	2:2
Italian Serie C Group A
14.05.23	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	2:1
Italian Serie C Group C
30.01.23	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	1:3
24.09.22	Monopoli - Audace Cerignola	2:1

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