Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani (Monopoli) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Picardi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	12:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport MIX


	Monopoli		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.50	2.87	2.65
	2.17	2.88	3.05	Watch
	2.8	2.81	2.97
	2.62	2.76	2.91	Watch
	2.7	2.55	2.9
	2.4	3.13	2.59	Watch
	2.36	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.41)	2.86 ↓ (3.12)	2.87 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monopoli
36.3%

Draw
31.9%

Audace Cerignola
31.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.5%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.6%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Monopoli - Audace Cerignola Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Monopoli will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Audace Cerignola will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tommasi M. (G) 16. Valenti B. 2. Pucino R. 6. Piccinini S. 23. Cerretti C. 15. Greco J. 8. Battocchio C. (C) 33. Olivieri E. 21. Scipioni E. 72. Cortinovis A. 28. Vido L.	22. Viola A. (G) 55. Cocorocchio M. 2. Kurti A. 44. Miranda K. 4. Vitale G. 58. Cretella C. 68. Sellaf M. 11. Volpe G. 20. Nanula M. 10. D'Orazio L. (C) 14. Padula C.
Substitutes
1. Albertazzi M. (G) 11. Belli M. 9. Bernardotto G. 19. Calcagni R. 7. Capone A. 10. Fall M. 61. Garritano L. 60. Gioielli F. 18. Paukstys S. 20. Sardo M. 12. Sibilano C. (G) 14. Tosi F.	17. Amiranda F. 27. Boccadamo A. 25. Bonfigli L. 21. Casarosa M. 9. Gambale D. 18. Guaragna C. 19. Iorio A. 8. Moreso O. 99. Parlato C. 77. Pinotti M. 80. Seminari G. 3. Sena F. 1. Vailati A. (G)
Coaches
Colombo A.	Catalano R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Cortinovis A. ⚽,
41', Piccinini S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Padula C. ↓, Gambale D. ↑,
61', Cortinovis A. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
61', Scipioni E. ↓, Gioielli F. ↑,
62', Nanula M. ↓, Pinotti M. ↑,
67', Greco J. ↓, Calcagni R. ↑,
71', Vitale G. ↓, Boccadamo A. ↑,
71', Miranda K. ↓, Sena F. ↑,
73', Olivieri E. 🟨,
83', Calcagni R. ↓, Garritano L. ↑,
84', Vido L. ↓, Bernardotto G. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Fall M. ⚽, Olivieri E. (A),
89', Kurti A. ↓, Moreso O. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 4th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/16 - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monopoli won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Monopoli could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Monopoli has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:10 (averaging 1.6:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Monopoli against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:4 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Monopoli	11	5	3	3	13:9	4	18
6	Audace Cerignola	11	5	2	4	18:11	7	17

Last Results with these Odds

Monopoli - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.15%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Audace Cerignola - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.38%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
17.10.26	Inter U23 - Monopoli	2:4 ✺
10.10.26	Casertana - Monopoli	3:1 ✺
03.10.26	Monopoli - Savoia	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Casarano - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Monopoli - Crotone	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLTWT
- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
18.10.26	Audace Cerignola - Savoia	4:0 ✺
10.10.26	Crotone - Audace Cerignola	2:3 ✺
04.10.26	Audace Cerignola - Altamura	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Picerno - Audace Cerignola	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
14.08.26	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	1:2 penalties
Italian Serie C Group C
25.01.26	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	0:0
12.09.25	Monopoli - Audace Cerignola	2:0
30.03.25	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	1:0
18.11.24	Monopoli - Audace Cerignola	1:1
10.03.24	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	1:3
06.11.23	Monopoli - Audace Cerignola	2:2

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