Match Info

Swiss Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Olympique de la Pontaise (Lausanne) 🌤️ ...


	Lausanne Ouchy		Étoile Carouge

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.33	5.5
	1.47	4.33	5.00
	1.5	4.3	5.3
	1.55	4.18	5.1
	1.60	4.13	4.52	Watch
	1.5	4.05	4.85
	1.54	4.15	5.3	Watch
	1.51	4.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.58)	4.23 ↑ (4.16)	5.1 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lausanne Ouchy
60.4%

Draw
21.6%

Étoile Carouge
18%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.9%

22%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

20.6%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lausanne Ouchy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne Ouchy than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Lausanne Ouchy - Étoile Carouge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Martin K. (G) 4. Moussadek D. 5. Hajrulahu L. 22. Barbet T. 28. Kaloga I. 8. Lusuena N. (C) 25. Nkama J. 7. Bouchlarhem T. 30. Dantas Fernandes R. 10. Freitas R. 11. Sartoretti M.	1. Diallo M. (G) 25. Felder V. (C) 32. Kadima R. 22. Zrankeon G. 99. Tsoungui M. 26. Bossiwa S. 6. El Jaouhari M. 8. Ricardo Alves 76. Itaitinga 59. Renovales O. 17. Sene O.
Substitutes
2. Carrasco J. 3. Conus B. 1. Da Silva D. (G) 20. Dula J. 57. Emeran N. 44. Lukembila H. 19. Sow C. 77. Tritten V. 80. Tur J. A.	7. Correia O. 24. Dubosson M. 77. Escorza T. 88. Essiena L. 21. Holcbecher M. 3. Hoxha F. 23. Huwiler L. (G) 2. Neves D. 4. Strohbach I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Freitas R. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Dantas Fernandes R. ⚽,
34', 3 - 0, Bouchlarhem T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lausanne Ouchy won 3.

Lausanne Ouchy is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Étoile has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Étoile could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Lausanne Ouchy for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Lausanne Ouchy in today's match, at odds of 1.57.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Lausanne Ouchy has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:9 (averaging 1.9:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lausanne Ouchy against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:5 goals (averaging 2.2:0.8 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lausanne Ouchy
Swiss Challenge League
09.10.26	Rapperswil-Jona - Lausanne Ouchy	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Grenoble - Lausanne Ouchy	0:0 ✺
24.09.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Sion	4:2
Swiss Challenge League
20.09.26	Yverdon - Lausanne Ouchy	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Wil 1900	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWTW
- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League
09.10.26	Étoile Carouge - Yverdon	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Kriens - Étoile Carouge	4:1 ✺
11.09.26	Étoile Carouge - Winterthur	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Étoile Carouge - Wil 1900	1:1 ✺
01.09.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Étoile Carouge	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
01.09.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Étoile Carouge	3:0
10.04.26	Étoile Carouge - Lausanne Ouchy	1:1
28.02.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Étoile Carouge	0:1
19.12.25	Étoile Carouge - Lausanne Ouchy	1:2
30.08.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Étoile Carouge	2:0
02.05.25	Étoile Carouge - Lausanne Ouchy	1:2
31.01.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Étoile Carouge	1:0

Upcoming Matches